Following their successful home series against the Red Sox, where they secured three of four games, the Yankees embark on a six-game West Coast trip, starting with a Tuesday matchup in Seattle.
Both teams have significant stakes in this game: the Yankees are aiming to clinch the American League East title and secure home-field advantage throughout the AL playoffs. Meanwhile, the Mariners are battling to close a 2.5-game gap in the wild-card race with just two weeks left in the season.
Given the high stakes and the caliber of starting pitchers involved, Tuesday’s game has the potential to resemble a low-scoring playoff contest.
Yankees vs. Mariners Prediction
| Team | Moneyline | Run Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -120 | -1.5 (+150) | o7 (-112) |
| Mariners | +100 | +1.5 (-180) | u7 (-108) |
Yankees Outlook
Luis Gil, making a return after nearly two years away due to Tommy John surgery, has been impressive in his comeback season with a 13-6 record and a 3.18 ERA. Gil’s ability to get strikeouts—boasting a 10.35 K/9 ratio—allows him to navigate through tough situations despite a 4.64 BB/9 rate. His 0.86 HR/9 ratio indicates he can manage base traffic effectively. In high-leverage spots, opponents hit just .160 against him with a .254 wOBA. Gil’s history against the Mariners is promising, as Seattle’s roster has struck out 37.1% of the time in 35 plate appearances against him, with a walk rate of only 8.6%.
Mariners Outlook
Bryan Woo, in his second MLB season, has an 8-2 record with a 2.38 ERA. Woo relies on excellent command and deception, boasting a high first-pitch strike rate of 73.8% and a low barrel rate of 4.5%. He throws 60.5% of his pitches inside the strike zone, leading to a 30.6% swing rate on pitches outside the zone. Woo’s approach, combined with Gil’s use of the sweeper pitch and slider, promises an intriguing pitching duel.
Pick and Analysis
T-Mobile Park, with a Park Factors value of 91, is known for its pitcher-friendly conditions, resulting in 9% fewer home runs compared to other venues. This is particularly significant for a Yankees team that relies heavily on power hitting. Given the under’s strong track record (8-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 10 games and 9-1 in their last 10 games in Seattle) and the exceptional pitching matchup, betting on the under seems like a solid choice.
